BOCA RATON, FL — July 26, 2025
While skies remain calm over South Florida, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is keeping a close eye on four tropical waves stretching across the Atlantic and Caribbean. Though none are forecast to develop into storms in the coming days, forecasters caution that conditions can change quickly during peak hurricane season.
Three of the four waves are already showing signs of convection—thunderstorm activity that could signal potential development down the line. Still, as of Saturday morning, the NHC reports no immediate cause for alarm.
Here’s a breakdown of the current tropical wave activity:
Eastern Atlantic Wave (Near 25W): Located off the African coast, this wave shows no significant thunderstorm activity at this time.
Central Atlantic Wave (Near 47W): Moving west at 10–15 knots, this system is producing scattered moderate convection.
Western Atlantic Wave (Near 60W): Also moving westward at 10–15 knots, with scattered storms visible from 12N to 16N.
Caribbean Wave (Near 73W): Slower-moving at 5–10 knots, this wave is generating scattered storms between 70W and 75W.
The monsoon trough and Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) continue to stretch across the tropical Atlantic, enhancing some of this convection, but not yet prompting concern from meteorologists.
Conditions Closer to Home
In the Gulf of Mexico, scattered storms are being driven by an upper-level trough. Moderate to fresh winds persist in the Straits of Florida, with 4–6 foot seas. In the Caribbean, strong trade winds fueled by high pressure in the Atlantic and a low over Colombia are causing rough seas up to 11 feet in some areas.
Meanwhile, a stationary front is weakening in the central Atlantic, with some scattered storms lingering along a trough to its south. Broad high pressure dominates the broader Atlantic basin, helping keep major systems at bay for now.
The Outlook
Meteorologists expect high pressure to remain in control through midweek, maintaining mostly calm conditions across the Atlantic and Gulf. Still, with sea temperatures warm and August approaching, forecasters will be watching these tropical waves closely for any signs of intensification.
For now, residents of Palm Beach County—from Boca Raton to Delray Beach—can breathe easy but are advised to remain informed as the season progresses.
Hurricane season runs through November 30. Always have a preparedness plan in place, especially during active periods.
Harlan Kilstein has been a Boca Resident since 1997. He know the ins and out of Boca
